{"id":8761,"date":"2025-09-30T19:32:16","date_gmt":"2025-09-30T17:32:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/2025\/09\/30\/les-traders-de-kalshi-et-polymarket-misent-sur-un-shutdown-americain\/"},"modified":"2025-09-30T19:32:16","modified_gmt":"2025-09-30T17:32:16","slug":"les-traders-de-kalshi-et-polymarket-misent-sur-un-shutdown-americain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/2025\/09\/30\/les-traders-de-kalshi-et-polymarket-misent-sur-un-shutdown-americain\/","title":{"rendered":"Les traders de Kalshi et Polymarket misent sur un shutdown am\u00e9ricain"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Market-bets.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-post-image\" alt=\"Quatre politiciens tendus jouent au poker devant le Capitole des \u00c9tats-Unis, tandis que l\u2019un d\u2019eux abat un jeton orange marqu\u00e9 \u00ab 85 \u00bb, symbolisant les fortes probabilit\u00e9s de fermeture selon Polymarket et Kalshi.\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"margin-bottom: 15px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Market-bets.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Market-bets-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Market-bets-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Market-bets-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/div>\n<p>La possibilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;une fermeture du gouvernement am\u00e9ricain domine les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction, les traders pariant massivement sur le r\u00e9sultat. Des plateformes comme Kalshi et Polymarket montrent un fort consensus selon lequel les n\u00e9gociations \u00e0 Washington ne devraient pas aboutir \u00e0 un accord \u00e0 temps. L&rsquo;augmentation des volumes et des probabilit\u00e9s de march\u00e9 sup\u00e9rieures \u00e0 85 % sugg\u00e8rent que les participants consid\u00e8rent une fermeture comme l&rsquo;issue la plus probable.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019article <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/kalshi-et-polymarket-signalent-de-fortes-chances-de-fermeture-du-gouvernement-americain\/\">Les traders de Kalshi et Polymarket misent sur un shutdown am\u00e9ricain<\/a> est apparu en premier sur <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/\">Cointribune<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La possibilit\u00e9 d&rsquo;une fermeture du gouvernement am\u00e9ricain domine les march\u00e9s de pr\u00e9diction, les traders pariant massivement sur le r\u00e9sultat. Des&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dernier-articles","wpcat-3-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8761"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8761"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8761\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}