{"id":17110,"date":"2026-10-05T16:34:27","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T14:34:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/2026\/10\/05\/election-au-bresil-les-marches-predictifs-battent-les-sondages-au-premier-tour\/"},"modified":"2026-10-05T16:34:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T14:34:27","slug":"election-au-bresil-les-marches-predictifs-battent-les-sondages-au-premier-tour","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/2026\/10\/05\/election-au-bresil-les-marches-predictifs-battent-les-sondages-au-premier-tour\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c9lection au Br\u00e9sil : Les march\u00e9s pr\u00e9dictifs battent les sondages au premier tour"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/10\/polymarket-bresil.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-post-image\" alt=\"Un trader br\u00e9silien domine un sondeur paniqu\u00e9, tandis qu\u2019un march\u00e9 pr\u00e9dictif grimpe devant les graphiques \u00e9lectoraux traditionnels du Br\u00e9sil aujourd\u2019hui.\" decoding=\"async\" style=\"margin-bottom: 15px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/10\/polymarket-bresil.png 1200w, https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/10\/polymarket-bresil-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/10\/polymarket-bresil-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/app\/uploads\/2026\/10\/polymarket-bresil-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/div>\n<p>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro a devanc\u00e9 le pr\u00e9sident sortant Lula au premier tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle br\u00e9silienne, avec 47,03 % des voix contre 45,16 %, renvoyant l\u2019issue \u00e0 un second tour le 25 octobre. Les sondages donnaient Lula gagnant\u00a0; les plateformes de pr\u00e9diction, elles, voyaient l\u2019avance du s\u00e9nateur depuis septembre. Un d\u00e9menti qui relance le d\u00e9bat sur leur fiabilit\u00e9, alors qu\u2019elles sont bloqu\u00e9es au Br\u00e9sil.<\/p>\n<p>L\u2019article <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/election-au-bresil-les-marches-predictifs-battent-les-sondages-au-premier-tour\/\">\u00c9lection au Br\u00e9sil : Les march\u00e9s pr\u00e9dictifs battent les sondages au premier tour<\/a> est apparu en premier sur <a rel=\"nofollow\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cointribune.com\/\">Cointribune<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro a devanc\u00e9 le pr\u00e9sident sortant Lula au premier tour de la pr\u00e9sidentielle br\u00e9silienne, avec 47,03 % des voix&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17110","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-dernier-articles","wpcat-3-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17110"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17110"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17110\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17110"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17110"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/monbitcoin.fr\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17110"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}